Xeos
Officer
Posts : 880
Join date : 2007-12-10
 |  Subject: Bradley Effect  Thu Oct 02, 2008 11:24 am | |
| Who thinks the Bradley Effect will occur in this presidential election? | |
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Galt
Posts : 767
Join date : 2007-12-11
Age : 40
Location : Get Fucked
| | Subject: Re: Bradley Effect Thu Oct 02, 2008 11:32 am | |
| For the country's sake I hope people don't pan out to be that stupid/ignorant. If you like McCain because you like McCain thats one thing but if you vote against Obama just because he is black you're stupid/ignorant. | |
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PB
Posts : 1387
Join date : 2007-12-09
| | Subject: Re: Bradley Effect Thu Oct 02, 2008 11:33 am | |
| I suggest you read Nate Silver's interpretation. Reader's Digest: There's no empirical evidence to suggest the Bradley Effect applies anymore. Harold Ford Jr. (Black) barely lost a close Senate re-election bid in 2006 and his final performance mirrored the polls. Obama out-performed in the primaries the poll averages. Obama already beat a very popular candidate, Clinton, in the primaries. It won't happen. If anything, Obama will win by a larger margin than predicted due to terrible undersampling of new and youth voters, who will be out in record numbers. | |
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